Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Oil prices fall as hurricane Ida fades, US$ climbs

Published: Wednesday November 11, 2009 MYT 7:44:00 AM
Oil prices fall as hurricane Ida fades, US$ climbs

NEW YORK:
Oil prices fell Tuesday as workers headed back to deep sea platforms that were bypassed by a rapidly weakening storm in the Gulf of Mexico. Ida, once a Category 1 hurricane, was downgraded to a tropical storm Monday and then lost even that status Tuesday as its winds lost their punch. Producers like Royal Dutch Shell and Anadarko reported no damage to facilities and said flights bringing workers back to abandoned platforms and rigs would begin Tuesday.

Benchmark crude for December delivery fell 38 cents to settle at $79.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Even on Monday, when Tropical Storm Ida posed a potential threat to Gulf platforms, it appeared that the affects of a weakened dollar played a more significant role as oil prices rose $2 to $79.43.

The dollar tumbled so far to start the week, a person holding a euro could trade it in for $1.50, the first time the U.S. currency has been that weak since July. Because crude is traded in dollars, that means an investor could trade in euros for dollars and buy oil for a relative bargain. Even though there are huge supplies of crude right now, the sagging dollar allows investors to buy oil and pay for storate, selling the oil months later when the price is right. On Tuesday, however, the dollar regained ground and crude prices fell.

The response to oil company activity in the Gulf ahead of the storm was muted.
Companies shut down 30 percent of oil production and 27 percent of natural gas production and evacuated about 18 percent of nearly 700 platforms, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service.

In the past, that would have been enough to send prices soaring by $5 to $10 per barrel.
Last year, U.S. retail gasoline prices spiked when hurricanes Ike and Gustav cut off supply routes, particularly in the Southeast. But Ida was weak compared with those storms and demand for fuel is not much better.

Prices at the pump edged lower overnight, falling 0.6 cents to $2.658 a gallon, according to auto club AAA, Wright Express and Oil Price Information Service. The Energy Department late Monday reported that retail gasoline prices fell for the first time in five weeks.

The International Energy Agency lowered its global oil demand forecast as well on Tuesday from 106 million barrels per day to 105 million barrels per day. New technologies that have opened up vast reserves of natural gas will lead to a glut in supply for at least the next several years, the IEA said.

Natural gas for December delivery plunged 4 percent, or 20.3 cents, to settle at $4.467 per 1,000 cubic feet on Nymex. In other Nymex trading, heating oil fell a penny to settle at $2.0523 a gallon. Gasoline for December delivery fell less than a penny to settle at $1.9774 a gallon.
In London, Brent crude for December delivery fell 27 cents to settle at $76.50 on the ICE Futures exchange. - AP
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Weak US$ at 15-month low pushes gold to new high

Published: Tuesday November 10, 2009 MYT 8:01:00
Weak US$ at 15-month low pushes gold to new high

NEW YORK:

Gold prices climbed to another new high Monday as the U.S. dollar sank to a 15-month low.
Gold for December delivery soared as high as US$1,111.70 on the New York Mercantile Exchange before settling at $1,101.40 an ounce, up $5.70, or 0.5 percent.

The gains came as the ICE Futures US dollar index, which measures the dollar against other currencies, dropped more than 1 percent to its lowest level since August 2008. The dollar weakened after finance ministers from the Group of 20 countries pledged over the weekend to maintain their stimulus efforts and keep interest rates low to further a global economic recovery. The G-20 leaders did not address how they might support currencies that have fallen in response to low rates. U.S. rates are near zero, which has contributed to the dollar's decline.
Gold, meanwhile, is seen as a hedge against the weak dollar and inflation, which investors fear could become a problem down the road if the greenback keeps falling.

"Short-term traders are looking at gold as an inverse play on the dollar," said Nicholas Brooks, head of research and investment strategy at ETF Securities in London.

Other commodities that are bought and sold in dollars have benefited from the greenback's slide because foreign investors can buy more with less money.

In other Nymex trading, December silver rose 10.5 cents to $17.48 an ounce, while December platinum rose $19 to $1,364 an ounce.
December copper futures added 1.5 cents to $2.9675 a pound.

In addition to the weaker dollar, jitters over tropical storm Ida helped support higher energy prices Monday. However, forecasters say the storm will likely weaken and bypass most drilling platforms and refineries in the Gulf of Mexico.

Light, sweet crude for December delivery rose $2 to settle at $79.43 a barrel.
Heating oil futures rose 5.92 cents to $2.0627 a gallon and gasoline futures gained 5.75 cents to $1.9818 a gallon.

Grain prices surged on the Chicago Board of Trade.
December wheat futures jumped 22.75 cents to $5.20 a bushel, while corn for December delivery rose 19 cents to $3.86 a bushel.
January soybeans gained 17 cents to $9.72 a bushel.

Prices for cotton, coffee and orange juice also rose.
- AP

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Palm Oil reserves ~ Sep 09 : 1.58 m tons

November 5, 2009 23:00 UTC+8
Crude Palm Oil Ends Down on Rising Inventories – Range Bound Trade

The benchmark January crude palm oil futures contract on BMD closed at MYR2,247 a metric ton, down MYR13 or -0.58%, little changed from the opening level of MYR2,260 after trading in a narrow range throughout the day on fears of rising inventories and spillover weakness from crude and soyoil.

Palm oil reserves were at 1.58 million tons at end-September, according to Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) estimate.

Cash palm olein for January/February/March traded at $690/ton and $687.50/ton, while April/May/June traded at $697.50/ton and $700/ton. Cash CPO for prompt shipment was offered MYR60 lower at MYR2,180/ton.
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Saturday, November 7, 2009

BNM Reserves ~ 30 Oct 09 : RM 334.6 b

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The international reserves of BNM amounted to RM334.6 billion
(equivalent to USD96 billion) as at 30 October 2009.
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The reserves position is sufficient to finance 9.9 months of retained imports
and is 3.9 times the short-term external debt.
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Kinsteel profit down on lower steel prices

Saturday November 7, 2009
Kinsteel profit down on lower steel prices

Kinsteel Bhd posted a net profit of RM19.8mil in the third quarter ended Sept 30,
which was only a third of RM58mil it made in the previous corresponding period.
Revenue was almost halved at RM458mil from RM845mil registered a year ago.
“The decrease in revenue was mainly due to lower steel prices,” said the company.
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In a separate statement, Perwaja Holdings Bhd, which is 37.3% owned by Kinsteel,
said it posted a net profit of RM13mil in the third quarter ended Sept 30
versus RM80.3mil made a year earlier.
Revenue fell to RM409mil from RM978mil previously.
It said the lower revenue and profit was mainly due to the lower steel prices
and decline in demand.
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Friday, November 6, 2009

Bakun dam to power up electricity in October or November next year

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KUCHING: The Bakun hydro dam project is expected to start generating electricity in October or November next year when the first of its eight turbines is commissioned. Sarawak Hidro Sdn Bhd’s general manager (civil) Tan Yong Long said each turbine could produce 300MW of electricity. He said the 205m-high concrete-faced rockfill dam, the world’s second highest after the 233m-high Shubuya dam in China, had an installed capacity of 2,400MW.

The bulk of the electricity will be exported to the peninsula through undersea submarine cables, the first of which is expected to be ready by 2016.

“The project’s main civil works are now 95% completed. The electrical and mechanical package is more than 90% complete,” he told a media briefing on the dam’s progress here on Wednesday night.

Sarawak Hidro, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Ministry of Finance Inc, is the project developer and manager. Tan said the second turbine is expected to be commissioned three months after the first, and the dam would be fully operational by 2011. He said impounding was expected to start in January by the latest, and that it would take eight months for the water level at the reservoir to reach the minimum operational level for tests to be carried out.

The reservoir will have a surface area of 695 sq km – the size of Singapore – when the water level reaches the maximum operating level of elevation at 228m. The Bakun catchment area covers some 14,750 sq m, which is as big as Kelantan. Tan said biomass removal through open burning and covering 455ha of the reservoir was now 80% complete. The entire job would be finished by next month.

“Works to remove the biomass started in January. It is tedious and labour intensive.”

On the rescue of wildlife, he said ground monitoring work to build up the wildlife inventory started two months ago. The wildlife would be relocated with the help of the Sarawak Forestry Corporation.

Allaying fears on the dam’s safety, Tan said: “Earthquake is not an issue. It will not make the dam fail.” However, he said instruments to detect earthquakes would be installed.
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Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Analabs ~ 03 Nov 09 : buy back 66,000 at RM 1.148

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Notice of Shares Buy Back - Immediate Announcement
Date of Buy Back : 03/11/2009
Description of Shares Purchased : Ordinary shares of RM1.00 each
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No. of Shares Purchased : 66,000 shares
Minimum Price Paid For Each Share Purchased : RM 1.140
Maximum Price Paid For Each Share Purchased : RM 1.150
Total Consideration Paid : RM 75,800.00
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No. of Shares Purchased Retained in Treasury : 66,000 shares
No. of Shares Which Are Proposed To Be Cancelled : 0 shares
Cumulative Net Outstanding Treasury Shares As At To-Date : 750,000 shares
Adjusted Issued Capital After Cancellation : 0
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Date Lodged With Registrar of Company :
Lodged By :
Remarks: N/A
Submitted By:
CHEW MEI LING
03/11/2009 05:26 PM
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Analabs ~ 04 Nov 09 : Value Chart



04 Nov 2009
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Analabs
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price 1.14
EPS 0.16
EPS 12 mo 0.18
ncal 09 nov 0.89
ncal 10 nov 1.07
eps value 10 nov 1.32
fair value 10 nov 1.40
upside 22%
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My call to myself : to add more at RM 1.10
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Sunday, November 1, 2009

Poh Kong ~ 01 Nov 10 : value chart


01 Nov 2009
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Price 41 sen
EPS ma 12mo 6.9 sen
EPS f 12 mo 6.9 sen
Ncal 09 oct 49.3 sen
Ncal 10 oct 56.5 sen
EPS value 10 oct 50 sen
Fair value 10 oct 50 sen
Upside 12 mo 21.9 %
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My call to myself : Buy at 41 sen
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